Friday: Possible ENE Lake Ontario sesh

[mihelbergel]

Let’s start with Friday.

So, by Friday morning that low pressure system from the plains will park itself over Lake Michigan for a day or two. There will be a pretty steep pressure gradient by Friday morning that looks to intensify into Saturday. This will mostly bring winds from the S-SE for Friday with one possible exception. Here is what I see:

I see the possibility for a sunrise session Friday morning on the Canadian side of Lake Erie at the eastern end, maybe 20-25mph. I’m gonna get up at 4:30am to check the forecast then. Even though it’s supposed to be hot on Friday the air temp at sunrise is supposed to be in the low 60’s, so bubbling should not be an issue that early. Models are showing decent S-SE wind most of the day, but the increasing heat often makes south wind goofy. Don’t rule out the rest of the day entirely, but just be prepared that it could be goofy as it heats up.

Here is the possible exception that I mentioned above: Lake Ontario between Olcott and Rochester could see ENE wind in the early/mid afternoon, maybe 20-25mph. This is no guarantee, and none of the models are showing it except ECMWF, but I’m gonna watch for it. I like the set-up. Could be a double session kind of day on 2 different lakes.

Saturday is too for off to mention it in much detail. I’m not super excited about this weather system, but I think it’s definitely worth watching closely.

[mihelbergel]

FYI: Olcott did get the 20-25mph today, but the meter there is NOT accurate with direction.  When it said N the correct direction was actually ENE.

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