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Bit of an unusual pattern this weekend, as a high pressure / cold front passed over (or is passing over as I write this), in a relatively “dry” nor’easter. Also not very strong compared to a “real” nor’easter.
The main consequence is that you’ll realize quickly that Thursday was the autumnal equinox and summer is OVER. You’ll likely need neoprene for the rest of 2016. Alas. We may get some more warm days (I’d be surprised if we don’t), but the water will be cooling off and you’ll need at least a shorty.
SAT: Strange pattern shows that we’ll get light-to-moderate and failing winds, mainly on the Big O south shore. More wave (being kicked up tonight) than wind, you’ll want a bigger board / kite. Fx for the FLX is actually “bigger”, but I would read that as more dynamic but not much bigger. Ontario will be more steady, in low-to-mid teens; the Finger Lakes will be more gusty, lulls in the non-planing range, gusts pushing 25-30. The real question for the FLX sailors will be the ratio of lull to gust, and how big the holes are. For most of the summer, the holes have been huge and gusts brief.
Depending on your gear and what you like, take your choice. Light and steady with some swells to ride on Ontario; Finger Lakes will be more dynamic, but you can expect a good bit of schlogging time.
SUN: Forget about wind. Middle of a high pressure system. Kites and sails will be useless. Plan for other activities accordingly.
GEM
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