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What’s happening Wednesday?
Low pressure looks to develop in northern Ontario early Wednesday morning. As it tracks southeastward it could bring significant winds to WNY. Pretty much all the models show WSW wind on eastern Lake Erie 25-40mph, probably peak between 3-5pm, veering WNW after 5pm. This will be ushered in by a cold front prob around 2-3pm that should ramp up the wind, keep air temps at good level to prevent bubbling, and bring a few showers/storms.
Keep in mind that this low pressure system does NOT yet exist, and will not exist with much definition until mid-morning on Wednesday. That makes it a little less certain in my mind because I can not yet see it’s impact, although I think it is still very likely to come true.
Eastern Lake Erie seems to be the best spot at this point, although western/central Lake Ontario could be decent WNW after 6pm. Watch the cold front and get to Lake Erie beaches an hour or two before that front arrives. Keep an eye on the wind meters on Lake Michigan early morning, then Lake Huron mid-morning, and then Lake Erie around noon.
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(At 9am) What a beautiful thing!!! Air pressure currently rising at Toledo buoy (western Lake Erie) and falling at Prince Edward buoy (eastern Lake Ontario), thus creating our gradient. The exact timing of the cold front seems to be somewhat conflicted on different models (between 3-6pm), but I don’t think it matters much today as there looks to be good pre-frontal and post-frontal winds. Yesterday they were showing 2 cold fronts, so that could be the reason for the discrepancy today…it may actually be 2 fronts instead of one. Warm front passing thru now. Between 2-6pm looks like excellent wind. There could be a storm when the cold front(s) passes, although I don’t think it will last too long, but be careful if you see it coming…winds could ramp up to 40mph, I think we could see consistent 30mph wind for much of the afternoon. Looks to be a good day.
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I just LOVE weather systems like this. Got to the beach 2pm and rigged the 3.7m right away. Set it aside and, in the meantime, got a nice session on 4.7m and 85 liter board. Then 3:30pm pre-frontal wind, BAMM, grab the 3.7m and off to the races!!! What a great session. A few little storms roaming around out there made for a beautiful sky with the sun peaking in and out. Perfect!
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