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Wednesday Morning Forecast Update:
There is still a great deal of inconsistency among models because of the localized nature of this small low pressure system. When systems are larger and further away they are generally easier to predict, but when they are small and right on top of us then any minor change can make a big difference.
However, I think we can still make some good calls for today. Timing is the biggest question. It looks to me like we will see 20-30mph WSW wind on the eastern end of Lake Erie. But when???
The wind should start to veer from S to WSW by 10-11am. About half of the models show peak wind 4-8pm and the other half 12-4pm. So I would be ready by 12noon. Watch the meters closely, especially the ones upwind from us. The system is approaching from the west, so keep an eye on the meters in Dunkirk NY and Erie PA for both direction and magnitude.
The Canadian side looks about the same as the American side as far as I can tell.
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