Isaac B

mihelbergel started the topic Wednesday Morning Forecast Update: in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 3 months ago

Wednesday Morning Forecast Update:

There is still a great deal of inconsistency among models because of the localized nature of this small low pressure system. When systems are larger and further away they are generally easier to predict, but when they are small and right on top of us then any minor change can make a big difference.

However, I…[Read more]
mihelbergel replied to the topic Friday SW in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 4 months ago

Saturday Forecast:

This week is like GroundHog Day. Sun again, SW wind 15-25mph, looks best between 1-5pm.

Today makes 12 days in a row of wind in the WNY area, with only 6 of those days over 20mph, and the other 6 days 15-20mph.
mihelbergel started the topic Friday SW in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 4 months ago

Friday Forecast:

Pretty much the same setup as yesterday except post-frontal wind instead of pre-frontal. Looks to me like we may see 15-25mph SW on Lake Erie best between 1-4pm. Nice and sunny.
mihelbergel replied to the topic Wednesday: SW Returns to Lake Erie in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 4 months ago

Thursday Forecast:

After a nice little SW kite session today the SW continues on Thursday. Low pressure over Quebec and high pressure in the west gives us a decent pressure gradient. A cold front approaches in the late afternoon. And it looks to be a little sunnier than previously expected. Considering all of that, I like the setup for hopefully…[Read more]
mihelbergel started the topic Wednesday: SW Returns to Lake Erie in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 4 months ago

Wednesday: SW returns

SW wind returning to our region starting today. We may see 10-15mph SW winds today. WRF even shows 20mph, but that may be a little too optimistic.

Thursday and Friday look a little better.
mihelbergel replied to the topic Mon/Tues – Finger Lakes continue ?? in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 4 months ago

Tuesday Forecast:

Still south wind in the Finger Lakes for yet another day with similar pressure system still in place. Again 15-25mph south wind possible in the Finger Lakes region for Tuesday. Rain possible again as well.
mihelbergel started the topic Mon/Tues – Finger Lakes continue ?? in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 4 months ago

Monday!!! The wind just keeps coming!!!

That low pressure we had the last couple days is gonna move toward Florida while HUGE high pressure engulfs the Atlantic Ocean. This gives a nice pressure gradient.

Who gets the wind tomorrow? The Finger Lakes AGAIN!!! I may travel to the middle-finger lake (Seneca) tomorrow if it still looks good in the…[Read more]
mihelbergel started the topic Sunday Forecast in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 4 months ago

Sunday Forecast:

Wind and rain early! Low pressure from the SE moves up to NYS early in the morning while that low pressure over Michigan remains in the Ohio Valley. This forms a neat setup for N-NE wind on both Lake Erie and Ontario for early morning.

Be prepared for rain and chilly air temps. Get out the rain visor for your helmet and a…[Read more]
mihelbergel replied to the topic Saturday Forecast in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 4 months ago

Just an FYI for you Rochester folks….I think it looks probable for a session at Olcott today between 1-5pm. Rochester does not look as likely to me. Just an FYI in case any of you are desperate for a weekend session. We launch at the end of Jackson Street which is on the west side of the creek.
mihelbergel started the topic Saturday Forecast in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 4 months ago

Saturday Forecast:

Interesting. I can almost cut and paste the forecast from today.

That low pressure over Lake Michigan is staying put. I see the possibility for a sunrise session Saturday morning on the Canadian side of Lake Erie at the eastern end, maybe 20-30mph (a little more potential than today). I’m gonna get up at 4:30am to check the f…[Read more]
mihelbergel replied to the topic Friday: Possible ENE Lake Ontario sesh in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 4 months ago

FYI: Olcott did get the 20-25mph today, but the meter there is NOT accurate with direction. When it said N the correct direction was actually ENE.
mihelbergel started the topic Friday: Possible ENE Lake Ontario sesh in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 4 months ago

Let’s start with Friday.

So, by Friday morning that low pressure system from the plains will park itself over Lake Michigan for a day or two. There will be a pretty steep pressure gradient by Friday morning that looks to intensify into Saturday. This will mostly bring winds from the S-SE for Friday with one possible exception. Here is what I…[Read more]
mihelbergel replied to the topic Tuesday: Lake O looks best. in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 4 months ago

I think that was the best day of the entire season for me. Everything was perfect! The water was warm, sun bright, sky was blue, the beach was beautiful, the friends were terrific, and my wife and kids were with me which made it so awesome. My 4.7m did not last long as it ramped up, so I went in and rigged the 3.7m for Lisa and I took her 4.2m.…[Read more]
mihelbergel replied to the topic Tuesday: Lake O looks best. in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 4 months ago

We had so much fun sailing with you guys today in Rochester. What a great spot you have there! Thank you so much for sharing it with us. Today totally saved the month of July from the wind drought.
mihelbergel started the topic Tuesday: Lake O looks best. in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 4 months ago

The Day: Tuesday

The Lakes: Eastern Lake O looks best today, but don’t rule out Eastern Lake E.

The Set-Up: Low pressure over Quebec and Newfoundland coupled with high pressure over Minnesota gives us a pretty nice pressure gradient over Lakes E and O….6+mbar. The cold front has passed thru our region as the low pressure shifted east…[Read more]
mihelbergel replied to the topic Heat Wave is Over! Lake O Refreshes! in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 4 months ago

Doug, I’m so stoked that you were hitting duck jibes. Can’t wait to see it. I think they are soooooo much fun to do and to watch. There was a guy, Marty, from Canada a couple years ago who came to Hamburg, and all he did was duck jibes that day. I watched him from the hill for like an hour that day when I was done riding and decided that I had…[Read more]
mihelbergel started the topic Monday, Monday, Monday! in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 4 months ago

Monday, Monday, Monday!

Rare for me to get excited about 15-20mph SW, but that’s the kinda season it has been so far…plus I think we might get a little boost. Here’s the story:

Huge low pressure to the north along the polar front crosses Hudson Bay. Higher pressure to the west, south and east gives a pressure gradient over Lake Erie. Now, it’s…[Read more]
mihelbergel replied to the topic Friday possible Lake Ontario session in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 4 months ago

Thanks Scott. Lake Ontario certainly was the right call. Sorry we missed you, but Lisa and I had a nice mini-date at Chimney Bluffs. No kids…just the 2 of us, the wind, the sun, and the bluffs. Btw…I LOVE reading your session reports. Awesome write-ups!!!!
mihelbergel and Isaac B are now friends 6 years, 4 months ago

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mihelbergel started the topic Friday possible Lake Ontario session in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 4 months ago

Friday:

As high pressure moves in from the west, the pressure gradient increases pretty nice for early Friday morning. It brings winds from NW-N. Air temps will be much cooler around 75 degrees. Right now I see the best wind on the southern shore of Lake Ontario, maybe 20mph. I am going to set an alarm clock for 4:30am and get up to check the…[Read more]
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