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mihelbergel replied to the topic The weather story for Thursday in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 4 months ago
The cold front now looks to arrive a little sooner than anticipated which could slightly increase the chance of getting a SW session this evening.
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mihelbergel started the topic The weather story for Thursday in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 4 months ago
The story for Thursday:
A nice low pressure system passing to our north over Hudson Bay will bring us a little bit of a gradient, but as of now we will prob miss the steep gradient. Cold front from this low pressure system doesn’t come through until shortly after midnight Thursday evening (aka Friday morning), which is prob too far past dark on…[Read more]
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mihelbergel started the topic Is there any hope for wind in the near future? in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 4 months ago
Is there any hope for wind in the near future?
We keep missing the effects of some beautiful low pressure systems, by relatively small distances, as they traverse Canada. In the past few years these systems would give us good SW wind about once a week, but they are just not setting up for us in a friendly way.
A few of the models are showing…[Read more]
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mihelbergel started the topic Monday (July 2) – Lake Erie update in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 4 months ago
Monday could produce a SW session on eastern Lake Erie.
Don’t get too excited, but there may be a 15-20mph session between 2-6pm. A mild cold front pushes through Buffalo around 8pm as a deep low pressure system crosses Quebec. Pre-frontal wind is a possibility Monday even with the extreme heat. I’m not saying that you should call your mom and…[Read more]
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mihelbergel started the topic Saturday Forecast (June 30) in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 5 months ago
I think a 20+mph session is only a 50/50 possibility on Lake Erie for Saturday. A warm front is coming through overnight, and warm fronts like this one are 50/50 when it comes to wind. Cold fronts are much more predictable when it comes to wind. There is a decent pressure gradient which gives me hope, but it will be pretty hot with air temps in…[Read more]
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mihelbergel replied to the topic Tues/Wed/Thurs Forecast (June 26, 27, 28) in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 5 months ago
It was real good yesterday 4pm-7pm. Did you get to ride?
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mihelbergel replied to the topic Tues/Wed/Thurs Forecast (June 26, 27, 28) in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 5 months ago
Things are still looking pretty decent for an evening SW sunny session today on Lake Erie.
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mihelbergel replied to the topic Tues/Wed/Thurs Forecast (June 26, 27, 28) in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 5 months ago
Thursday shows a cold front approaching later in the day. Possibly some SW wind coming with it. Don’t get too excited, but ECMWF is showing mid-twenties.
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mihelbergel replied to the topic Tues/Wed/Thurs Forecast (June 26, 27, 28) in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 5 months ago
Today (Wednesday) does not look quite as good, but I still think there is a session to be had on the Finger Lakes.
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mihelbergel started the topic Tues/Wed/Thurs Forecast (June 26, 27, 28) in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 5 months ago
This afternoon and evening (Tuesday) may produce some NE wind on western/central Lake Ontario. Keep an eye on the meters at Olcott and Rochester.
Wednesday looks solid. More questions than answers for Thursday.
A small low pressure system is developing over the plains today. It moves eastward, and lands right on Buffalo Wednesday. With it com…[Read more] -
mihelbergel replied to the topic Plans for this week (25 June-) in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 5 months ago
My wife and I will probably go to Seneca on Wednesday afternoon depending on what the forecast looks like Wed morning. We may possibly stay overnight at Seneca and go to Chimney Bluffs on Thursday morning if the forecast looks good, but that is a big “IF” right now. A lot depends on the track and intensity of this small low pressure system t…[Read more]
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mihelbergel replied to the topic Maybe Olcott Again Friday in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 5 months ago
Saturday morning shows a decent pressure gradient on Lake Ontario which could mean some more wind for Olcott. Check it again in the morning. Might be worth the short drive. Again, keep in mind that the water will be cold.
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mihelbergel started the topic Maybe Olcott Again Friday in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 5 months ago
Friday, again, has potential for Olcott, in the afternoon this time. Keep in mind, however, that once it blows NE for 24 hours or more the water often upwells (flips) on Lake Ontario due to the Coriolis Effect and Eckman Trransport. That means there is increased risk of bubbbling/doming due to the cold surface temps. I may try Olcott early…[Read more]
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mihelbergel started the topic Possible Sunrise Session Thursday, Olcott in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 5 months ago
FYI: Possible sunrise session Thursday morning at Olcott. WRF showing the most wind at 20-30mph between 5am-9am. NAM also showing 20mph+. High pressure to our north, low pressure to our southwest makes a gradient of a few millibars over Lake Ontario. Looks to be a beautiful morning with sunny skies. The sun rises on the upwind side at Olcott so it…[Read more]
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mihelbergel replied to the topic Sunday/Monday Forecast in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 5 months ago
Oh Monday, Monday…how you vex me!
vex (veks): make (someone) feel annoyed, frustrated, or worried, especially with trivial matters.
To begin, there will be likely be wind on Monday, however, the question is when and where because of the HEAT (bubbling). If you enjoy windsurfing at inland locations, like the Niagara River or the pond in…[Read more]
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mihelbergel started the topic Sunday/Monday Forecast in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 5 months ago
Hot, Hot, Hot!!!
Father’s day not looking too good for windsports on the lake with minimal flow and very hot temps. The barbecue may be a better option as bubbling/doming will likely be an issue.
Monday has some potential with a deep trough directly over Lake Erie and Ontario probably giving us 4-6mbar of gradient over the 2 lakes, BUT a lot…[Read more]
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mihelbergel replied to the topic Hamlin Beach??? in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 5 months ago
Scott, is East Bay at Chimney Bluffs?
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mihelbergel replied to the topic Hamlin Beach??? in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 5 months ago
Thanks for the info! I will check it out sometime.
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mihelbergel replied to the topic Lake O Delivers, Durand Beach Blast! 6-14-18 in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 5 months ago
Wonderful report! I hope I can join you there sometime on NW.
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mihelbergel started the topic Hamlin Beach??? in the forum General Windsports Discussion 6 years, 5 months ago
Do any of you guys ride at Hamlin Beach? It looks really good on Google Earth for WNW or ENE, but I’ve never been there. What’s it like?
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