mihelbergel

Thursday Forecast:

There is a chance today for a Lake Ontario session between Olcott and Port Weller. Only a couple models showing it, but I think a 20mph ENE session is a possibility today between 1-4pm.

Sunday Forecast:

If you haven’t already noticed, it’s chilly outside. On Lake Ontario, today will likely be a preview of October conditions with chilly air temps and the likelihood that water temps will be in the 50’s after yesterday’s strong east winds. Wind forecasts for western Lake Erie seem to show the strongest winds for today, but they are…[Read more]

Saturday Forecast:

I’m posting this forecast a little earlier than usual because you may want to get up at 5am for this one depending where you ride.

Very high pressure to our north and Gordon pushing up from the south makes a nice pressure gradient for Saturday. A cold front coming through overnight will cool things off for Saturday. Some sun…[Read more]

Wednesday Forecast:

We are just missing a very nice trough that will impact Lake Huron and Lake Superior on Wednesday, but we may get a little wind. Models this year seem better at forecasting thermals in the Buffalo area, and some are indicating thermaling for Wednesday at Buffalo area beaches. It’s gonna be so damn hot, but I’ve got to have…[Read more]

Monday Forecast:

More rides on Monday in the 15-25mph wind range again. Expect SW direction, probably best between 11am-4pm. Looks like more sun on Monday than today and a little hotter.

Sunday Forecast:

High pressure to the south, low pressure to the north = some wind on Sunday.

Look for SW winds on eastern Lake Erie starting Sunday morning, maybe as early as 9am, continuing through maybe 3pm. Magnitude 15-25mph.

Wednesday Forecast:

So the wind on Wednesday is from a different system than today. There is a small low pressure system forming over Lake Michigan tonight that will pass north of Buffalo tomorrow. It is more localized which can be a little more finicky than larger systems like we had today, plus we still have the heat to contend with that likely…[Read more]

Tuesday Forecast:

Aside from the heat, Tuesday looks solid for eastern Lake Erie. Trough extending from Quebec toward the GLR, and high pressure to our south and east. Pretty much all the models are calling for 20-35mph from the SW from 10am-5pm. The only question is the heat. I’m optimistic. Bring your small stuff.

Monday Forecast:

More wind coming? August has been a decent month so far with 15 days of wind. Still not many days over 30mph, but that may change this week if the heat doesn’t kill it.

For today (Monday) we see a pressure gradient tightening up as we get into the 12 o’clock hour, with 2 low pressure systems to our north/west and a large high…[Read more]

Sunday Forecast:

Mixed previews for Sunday on direction and magnitude. However, timing seems to indicate that early morning is best.

I suggest waking at 5am to check the models. Some models showing S wind early while others show SW. Magnitude varies from 15mph to 25mph. Most models show diminishing winds as the morning progresses, however, a…[Read more]

Thursday Forecast:

With big low pressure over Quebec and high pressure over the Ohio valley, we get a pressure gradient for the GLR today. Couple that with sunny skies and moderate air temps and it looks to be a decent SW session for eastern Lake Erie this afternoon and evening.

Look for winds to back from WNW to WSW around noon. Add some…[Read more]

Tuesday/Wednesday Forecast:

Seems pretty straight forward for today (Tuesday)…..the Finger Lakes.

A low pressure system from the mid-west has moved into the GLR. This system has brought some major thunderstorms, hail and tornadoes to the mid-west region. A good deal of rain is forecasted for the Buffalo area and Lake Erie today….BUT…the…[Read more]

Monday Forecast:

As we wait for the low pressure system to arrive on Tues/Wed, there is a chance for a ENE session on Lake Ontario today between Olcott and Rochester. Look for ENE wind possibly 15-20mph between 3-7pm. I don’t think I am personally going to make the drive, but if you live near there it may be worth stopping by for a light wind session.

Friday Forecast:

There is a small low pressure system developing overnight in Michigan that will intensify over Buffalo starting early in the morning. Pretty much all the models are showing wind 15-25mph with some differences in the timing. I think there is a good chance that it will be windy much of the day. My suggestion is to get up at 6am to…[Read more]

Wednesday Forecast:

The low pressure system and it’s trough from yesterday exit the region toward Greenland, and a little bit higher pressure moves into the eastern end of Lake Erie with a bit of a pressure gradient.

It’s gonna be a little hotter today, so bubbling may be an issue. The cold front that was approaching the Great Lakes Region…[Read more]

Tuesday Forecast:

A low pressure system, just south of the polar front, moves across Canada today. Toward evening, it extends a trough over the Great Lakes Region, giving us a bit of a pressure gradient after 4pm. A couple models are showing 20-30mph, while the rest are showing 15-20mph. I think 15-20mph is realistic for the eastern end of Lake…[Read more]