mihelbergel

Wednesday Morning Forecast Update:

There is still a great deal of inconsistency among models because of the localized nature of this small low pressure system. When systems are larger and further away they are generally easier to predict, but when they are small and right on top of us then any minor change can make a big difference.

However, I…[Read more]

Friday Forecast:

Pretty much the same setup as yesterday except post-frontal wind instead of pre-frontal. Looks to me like we may see 15-25mph SW on Lake Erie best between 1-4pm. Nice and sunny.

Wednesday: SW returns

SW wind returning to our region starting today. We may see 10-15mph SW winds today. WRF even shows 20mph, but that may be a little too optimistic.

Thursday and Friday look a little better.

Monday!!! The wind just keeps coming!!!

That low pressure we had the last couple days is gonna move toward Florida while HUGE high pressure engulfs the Atlantic Ocean. This gives a nice pressure gradient.

Who gets the wind tomorrow? The Finger Lakes AGAIN!!! I may travel to the middle-finger lake (Seneca) tomorrow if it still looks good in the…[Read more]

Sunday Forecast:

Wind and rain early! Low pressure from the SE moves up to NYS early in the morning while that low pressure over Michigan remains in the Ohio Valley. This forms a neat setup for N-NE wind on both Lake Erie and Ontario for early morning.

Be prepared for rain and chilly air temps. Get out the rain visor for your helmet and a…[Read more]

Saturday Forecast:

Interesting. I can almost cut and paste the forecast from today.

That low pressure over Lake Michigan is staying put. I see the possibility for a sunrise session Saturday morning on the Canadian side of Lake Erie at the eastern end, maybe 20-30mph (a little more potential than today). I’m gonna get up at 4:30am to check the f…[Read more]

Let’s start with Friday.

So, by Friday morning that low pressure system from the plains will park itself over Lake Michigan for a day or two. There will be a pretty steep pressure gradient by Friday morning that looks to intensify into Saturday. This will mostly bring winds from the S-SE for Friday with one possible exception. Here is what I…[Read more]

The Day: Tuesday

The Lakes: Eastern Lake O looks best today, but don’t rule out Eastern Lake E.

The Set-Up: Low pressure over Quebec and Newfoundland coupled with high pressure over Minnesota gives us a pretty nice pressure gradient over Lakes E and O….6+mbar. The cold front has passed thru our region as the low pressure shifted east…[Read more]

Monday, Monday, Monday!

Rare for me to get excited about 15-20mph SW, but that’s the kinda season it has been so far…plus I think we might get a little boost. Here’s the story:

Huge low pressure to the north along the polar front crosses Hudson Bay. Higher pressure to the west, south and east gives a pressure gradient over Lake Erie. Now, it’s…[Read more]

Friday:

As high pressure moves in from the west, the pressure gradient increases pretty nice for early Friday morning. It brings winds from NW-N. Air temps will be much cooler around 75 degrees. Right now I see the best wind on the southern shore of Lake Ontario, maybe 20mph. I am going to set an alarm clock for 4:30am and get up to check the…[Read more]