mihelbergel

The story for Thursday:

A nice low pressure system passing to our north over Hudson Bay will bring us a little bit of a gradient, but as of now we will prob miss the steep gradient. Cold front from this low pressure system doesn’t come through until shortly after midnight Thursday evening (aka Friday morning), which is prob too far past dark on…[Read more]

Is there any hope for wind in the near future?

We keep missing the effects of some beautiful low pressure systems, by relatively small distances, as they traverse Canada. In the past few years these systems would give us good SW wind about once a week, but they are just not setting up for us in a friendly way.

A few of the models are showing…[Read more]

Monday could produce a SW session on eastern Lake Erie.

Don’t get too excited, but there may be a 15-20mph session between 2-6pm. A mild cold front pushes through Buffalo around 8pm as a deep low pressure system crosses Quebec. Pre-frontal wind is a possibility Monday even with the extreme heat. I’m not saying that you should call your mom and…[Read more]

I think a 20+mph session is only a 50/50 possibility on Lake Erie for Saturday. A warm front is coming through overnight, and warm fronts like this one are 50/50 when it comes to wind. Cold fronts are much more predictable when it comes to wind. There is a decent pressure gradient which gives me hope, but it will be pretty hot with air temps in…[Read more]

This afternoon and evening (Tuesday) may produce some NE wind on western/central Lake Ontario.  Keep an eye on the meters at Olcott and Rochester.
Wednesday looks solid.  More questions than answers for Thursday.
A small low pressure system is developing over the plains today.  It moves eastward, and lands right on Buffalo Wednesday.  With it com…[Read more]

Friday, again, has potential for Olcott, in the afternoon this time. Keep in mind, however, that once it blows NE for 24 hours or more the water often upwells (flips) on Lake Ontario due to the Coriolis Effect and Eckman Trransport. That means there is increased risk of bubbbling/doming due to the cold surface temps. I may try Olcott early…[Read more]

FYI: Possible sunrise session Thursday morning at Olcott. WRF showing the most wind at 20-30mph between 5am-9am. NAM also showing 20mph+. High pressure to our north, low pressure to our southwest makes a gradient of a few millibars over Lake Ontario. Looks to be a beautiful morning with sunny skies. The sun rises on the upwind side at Olcott so it…[Read more]

Hot, Hot, Hot!!!

Father’s day not looking too good for windsports on the lake with minimal flow and very hot temps. The barbecue may be a better option as bubbling/doming will likely be an issue.

Monday has some potential with a deep trough directly over Lake Erie and Ontario probably giving us 4-6mbar of gradient over the 2 lakes, BUT a lot…[Read more]

Do any of you guys ride at Hamlin Beach?  It looks really good on Google Earth for WNW or ENE, but I’ve never been there.  What’s it like?